A PTI report this week (24 July) said that, at least 50 youths in Jammu and Kashmir have joined militant ranks, mostly of Hizbul Mujahideen, this year. Another report in April said that 250 locals have joined militancy since the killing of the Hizbul Mujahideen leader Burhan Wani on 8 July 2016. Clearly, the statistics show the number of youth joining militancy in J&K is on rise.
Since 2008, Kashmir has witnessed a series of mass protests, which last weeks or even months. Last year, 78 people died and more than ten thousand protestors were injured in mass protests and stone-pelting altercations.
The Kashmir problem is typically viewed from an angle of the India-Pakistan conflict. While Pakistanâ€™s continued â€˜moral supportâ€™ to armed militant groups operating in Kashmir is problematic for India, the recent wave of protests is largely local in nature, with Kashmiris expressing their legitimate grievances.
In response to these protests and dismal voter turnout during a recent by-poll election, former J&K Chief Minister Omar Abdullah rightly said that Pakistan â€œhelps fan the flames, but the situation is not of their making.â€
Moreover, the Jammu and Ladakh regions of J&K have their own grievances and feel they have received unfair treatment from the Indian government despite their pro-India political orientation.
Analyzing current situation political observers believe, these developments indicate that Kashmir is approaching a dangerous political tipping point and India can no longer blame Pakistan for these persistent challenges.
They also opine that, India must begin taking responsibility for the welfare of its citizens living in J&K. To assuage tensions, the Indian government should immediately implement the 2012 recommendations of the central governmentâ€™s J&K Interlocutors Group, which called for the decentralization of government and increased attention to human rights issues and the rule of law.
The groupâ€™s report was a comprehensive effort incorporating the voices of broad swathes of society in J&K through interactions with more than 700 delegations in all the 22 districts of the state.
Many believe that if the groupâ€™s recommendations had been implemented, the current situation in Kashmir could have been prevented.
A key political recommendation of the report is devolution or the decentralization of power through the creation of three regional councils for the Jammu, Kashmir, and Ladakh regions of J&K.
These three regions are geographically, ethnically, and culturally distinct from one another. Jammu is primarily comprised of Dogra Hindus, Kashmir of majority Kashmiri Muslims, and Ladakh of Tibetan Buddhists and Shia Muslims.
The imprisonment of the popularly-elected Kashmiri leader Sheikh Abdullah in 1953, along with removal of the democratically-elected state government in 1984 and rigged state elections of 1962, 1967, 1972, and 1987, further alienated the Kashmiri masses.
The violent militancy of the 1990s was followed by relative peace from 2003 to 2007. However, even during this respite, the central government did not take major steps to improve the beleaguered stateâ€™s local institutions or seek the input of stakeholders on how to move forward.
Towards this end, the 2012 report recommends allotting executive and financial powers to three regional councils to firmly establish autonomous rule. Resources would be divided among these regional councils so that they could implement policies according to their specific economic and social needs. Such decentralization would establish more transparent and accountable regional councils, creating better governance and employment opportunities with potential positive ramifications for improving rule of law in Kashmir.
Human rights and the rule of law represent another area of reforms, pointed out by observers. The Interlocutors Group report calls for the release of stone-pelters and political prisoners accused of minor offenses and amnesty for militants who renounce violence. Such actions would ensure these individualsâ€™ acceptance back into mainstream society.
In July 2016, former Chief Minister Abdullah noted that civil unrest in Haryana and the Patildar caste agitation in Gujarat had not elicited the same violent response from Indian security forces as less severe incidents in Kashmir.
To address this inequity, the 2012 report recommends a review of the Armed Forces Special Powers Act (AFSPA), which grants Indian security forces vast powers including rights to search, arrest, and even fire upon individuals associated with insurgent activities without a warrant.
Both Abdullah and current Chief Minister Mehbooba Mufti have advocated for the revocation of AFSPA in some areas.
The New Delhiâ€™s current Kashmir policies have failed to end mass protests and address legitimate grievances. Regional councils would address these issues of governance and employment and would cater to the individual needs of three diverse regions of J&K. This would provide the political space for Kashmiris to voice their needs and opinions. In addition, human rights protections and rule of law reforms would help reestablish faith in the justice system.
The current civil unrest in Kashmir indicates that India can no longer blame its problems in this region on othersâ€”including Pakistanâ€”but must seek to implement the solutions set forward by experts and voices on the ground in order to secure the political rights and welfare of all citizens in J&K.